Barack Obama elected president in 2012

Created by Solvent on 2011-08-18; known on 2012-11-07; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.

  • Solvent estimated 70% on 2011-08-18
  • norvig  judged this prediction right on 2011-08-18.
  • norvig  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-08-18.
  • norvig estimated 85% on 2011-08-18
  • gwern said “this is a dupe of like a dozen predictionson 2011-08-18
  • OMFGscience estimated 65% on 2011-08-22
  • RandomThinker  judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction