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The Hubble Telescope will deorbit before the end of 2025

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-18; known on 2026-01-01

  • JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-08-18
  • JoshuaZ said “Most estimates give range from 2019-2032. High amounts of solar activity mean increased drag in the long run. Also am unconvinced that gyroscope replacements will do as well as NASA estimates. Other technical problems also possible. ” on 2011-08-18
  • gwern estimated 50% and said “on the other hand, sometimes NASA massively underestimates how well things will go – look at some of the Martian rovers” on 2011-08-19
  • JoshuaZ said “tag: astronomy” on 2011-09-04
  • JoshuaZ said “tag: science” on 2011-09-04
  • themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
  • pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-01-03