Nokia's share price will fall by 50% in the next two years

Created by Michael Stevens on 2011-08-22; known on 2013-08-22; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-06-05.

  • Michael Stevens estimated 75% on 2011-08-22
  • gwern estimated 55% and said “google says currently at $5.81 a share, so judging correct at <$2.91 a share.on 2011-08-22
  • RandomThinker estimated 15% and said “Nokia’s going up. The windows phones are going to outperform.on 2012-04-11
  • gwern said “current: $5.32 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=NOKon 2012-04-17
  • RandomThinker said “@gwern isn’t the current price 4.07, instead of 5-something? Still far away from 50% though.on 2012-04-17
  • gwern said “er. I thought it was. I wonder what I was looking at, thenon 2012-04-18
  • RandomThinker said “Hmm NOK at $2.61 a share so looks like this came to passon 2012-06-05
  • RandomThinker said “Fast fall from 4-17 until 6-1!on 2012-06-05
  • RandomThinker  judged this prediction right on 2012-06-05.

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