Islamic terrorist attack in the UK kills at least one this month.

Created by rebellionkid on 2014-08-29; known on 2014-09-29; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2014-09-29.

• rebellionkid estimated 20% on 2014-08-29
• rebellionkid estimated 2% and said “Damnit, typo” on 2014-08-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2014-08-30
• Silver estimated 5% on 2014-08-30
• CrystalBall estimated 3% on 2014-08-31
• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 1% on 2014-09-04
• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 2% on 2014-09-04
• mortehu estimated 10% on 2014-09-06
• TeMPOraL estimated 2% on 2014-09-09
• scav estimated 1% and said “Base probability is really low, even when the Middle East is on fire.” on 2014-09-14
• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 0% and said “Originally forgot to account for being partway into month.” on 2014-09-20
• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 1% on 2014-09-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2014-09-22
• rebellionkid   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-09-29.