My house will lose power when Hurricane Irene hits.
- gwern estimated 20% on 2011-08-27
- gwern said “so far, we haven’t lost anything, not even Internet. what did happen was my car got crushed by a falling tree. unfortunately, I neglected to include a prediction for that…” on 2011-08-28
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-08-29.
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