I will be killed or more than slightly injured skydiving for the first time Saturday

Created by gwern on 2011-09-01; known on 2011-09-04; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-09-03.

  • gwern estimated 2% on 2011-09-01
  • bobpage estimated 0% on 2011-09-01
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2011-09-01
  • Sandra Åhlén estimated 1% on 2011-09-02
  • Jach estimated 1% on 2011-09-02
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-09-03.

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