Before December Roland will not make any bet with me over any 9/11 truth related claims and will not give estimates on PB for any of the related statements already added to PB

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-09-04; known on 2011-12-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2011-12-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 72% on 2011-09-04
• JoshuaZ said “context: http://lesswrong.com/lw/77b/please_do_not_downvote_every_comment_or_post/4ov3 tags: politics, 9/11 truth, wagers, personal” on 2011-09-04
• gwern estimated 50% and said “hasn’t had much time to respond” on 2011-09-04
• JoshuaZ said “bracketed tags [9/11 truth] [politics], [wagers], [personal]” on 2011-09-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 62% and said “Comment I made [here](http://lesswrong.com/lw/8ac/911_survey/55g3)) may increase the chance of a response. ” on 2011-11-02
• JoshuaZ said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/8ac/911_survey/55g3 (wrong format) ” on 2011-11-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 90% and said “Roland’s recent comments make me more certain that he is not going to do so. ” on 2011-11-05
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2011-11-28
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2011-12-01.