(All) Wikipedias' total editor base will be >=95,000 in June 2012.

Created by gwern on 2011-09-06; known on 2012-08-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-09-04.

• gwern estimated 25% on 2011-09-06
• gwern said “not sure where I will find the right editor count, but I can figure that out next year” on 2011-09-06
• gwern said “http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111904875404576532431335938862.html prediction source” on 2011-09-06
• gwern said “‘Adding more editors “is one of our top priorities for the year,” says Howie Fung…aims to increase the number of editors across all languages of Wikipedia to 95,000 from 81,450 by June of next year.’” on 2011-09-06
• Anubhav estimated 80% on 2011-10-10
• gwern estimated 0% and said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:ActiveWikipedians.PNG https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Wikipedia_Signpost/2011-12-26/Opinion_essay” on 2012-01-11
• gwern estimated 20% and said “er, didn’t mean to update the prediction but might as well drop a bit” on 2012-01-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2012-01-11
• Anubhav estimated 20% and said “Wouldn’t have expected the number of editors to be dropping. This isn’t just sad, this is a tragedy.” on 2012-01-12
• gwern said “May 2012, >5 edits (the metric used in the graphs & WMF documents): 77,222 across all Wikipedias http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaZZ.htm June numbers not available, bump a month” on 2012-07-02
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-07-01” on 2012-07-02
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 33% on 2012-07-08
• gwern said “current July 2012 >5 figure (col C): 76,400. marking wrong.” on 2012-09-04
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-09-04.