GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1003: Will Serbia be officially granted EU candidacy by 31 December 2011?

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-12-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-12-30.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-09-07
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-09-07
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
• gwern said “wikipedia and other new reports say next consideration in march 2012 – so definitely not yet. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accession_of_Serbia_to_the_European_Union” on 2011-12-30
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-30.