GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1003: Will Serbia be officially granted EU candidacy by 31 December 2011?
- gwern estimated 20% on 2011-09-07
- gwern made the prediction private on 2011-09-07
- gwern made the prediction public on 2011-12-14
- gwern said “wikipedia and other new reports say next consideration in march 2012 – so definitely not yet. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accession_of_Serbia_to_the_European_Union” on 2011-12-30
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-30.
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