GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1009: By 1 January 2012 will the Iraqi government sign a security agreement that allows US troops to remain in Iraq?
- gwern estimated 50% on 2011-09-07
- gwern made the prediction public on 2011-12-14
- gwern said “GJP has suspended it for complex IARPA-related reasons; however, I think I can safely mark this wrong.” on 2011-12-31
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-31.
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