GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1014: Who will win the September 2011 Guatemalan presidential election, or will a run-off be needed? © Other or Run-Off

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-09-30; judged right by gwern on 2011-09-14.

  • gwern estimated 50% on 2011-09-07
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2011-09-14.
  • gwern said “now that was blind luckon 2011-09-14
  • gwern made the prediction public on 2011-09-14

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