GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1017: Will Robert Mugabe cease to be President of Zimbabwe by 30 September 2011?
- gwern estimated 5% on 2011-09-07
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-03.
- gwern said “ironically, I misread the original GJP page, and so I wound up placing a maximum bet for mugabe leaving! cost me $1000 total, leaving me up only $700 on net :(” on 2011-10-03
- gwern made the prediction public on 2011-10-03
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