PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

NGE: 3.0 will be released in 2013

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2014-01-02.

  • gwern estimated 3% on 2011-09-07
  • gwern estimated 15% on 2011-09-12
  • gwern said “thankfully, it managed to squeeze it under the line in late November 2012on 2014-01-02
  • PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-02.