NGE: 4.0 will be released in 2014

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 45% on 2011-09-07
• gwern estimated 17% and said “whups” on 2011-09-07
• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-09-12
• gwern said “scheduled for late 2015 now, IIRC” on 2015-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.