NGE: 4.0 will be released in 2014

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2015-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 45% on 2011-09-07
  • gwern estimated 17% and said “whupson 2011-09-07
  • gwern estimated 50% on 2011-09-12
  • gwern said “scheduled for late 2015 now, IIRCon 2015-01-01
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.

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