NGE: 3.0 will not be longer than 60 minutes

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 15% on 2011-09-07
  • gwern said “the fans would go nuts if we waited 3-4 years for it and it was barely longer than a Katangatari episode. as well, they have way too much plot to get through for <60 minuteson 2011-09-07
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01on 2012-01-10
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction