Michael House will reply within a week.

Created by gwern on 2011-09-22; known on 2011-09-29; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-09-29.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2011-09-22
  • gwern said “notes; subject was ‘Memoirs of Gainax?’, sent on 15 September 2011, no reply or error message of any kindon 2011-09-22
  • JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2011-09-22
  • bobpage estimated 50% on 2011-09-22
  • fergus estimated 10% on 2011-09-23
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-09-29.
  • gwern said “I was right, but not by much – he replied todayon 2011-10-02

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction