Michael House will reply within a week.

Created by gwern on 2011-09-22; known on 2011-09-29; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-09-29.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-09-22
• gwern said “notes; subject was ‘Memoirs of Gainax?’, sent on 15 September 2011, no reply or error message of any kind” on 2011-09-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2011-09-22
• PseudonymousUser estimated 50% on 2011-09-22
• fergus estimated 10% on 2011-09-23
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-09-29.
• gwern said “I was right, but not by much – he replied today” on 2011-10-02