'Completion of the i5K project' by 2017

Created by gwern on 2011-09-25; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 50% on 2011-09-25
  • gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2016.htm#insect-genomeson 2011-09-25
  • gwern said “5000 insect genomes is a lot, but on the other hand, there’s no sign of genome sequencing costs ceasing their exponential plunge, that I know of.on 2011-09-25
  • Robert Kosten estimated 60% on 2011-10-04
  • gwern said “seems to have sputtered out – can’t find any meaningful updates but definitely not 5000 genomes.on 2017-01-01
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.

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