India's first manned spaceflight by 2017.

Created by gwern on 2011-09-25; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2017-01-01.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-09-25
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2016.htm#india-space http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/8483787.stm” on 2011-09-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 62% and said “They have the technology and the resources. Tags: [space][India]” on 2011-10-01
• Robert Kosten estimated 30% on 2011-10-04
• chemotaxis101 estimated 40% on 2011-10-09
• Anubhav estimated 50% on 2011-10-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “http://www.newindianexpress.com/nation/2016/jan/17/Manned-Space-Plan-Shelved-ISRO-Gears-Up-for-Robotic-Mission-Instead-869771.html” on 2016-10-06
• PseudonymousUser said “http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Manned-mission-not-a-priority-Isro-chief/articleshow/49701431.cms” on 2016-10-06
• gwern estimated 1% on 2016-10-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 4% on 2016-10-07
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.