Steve Jobs’s will shall donate >=50% of his wealth to charity

Created by gwern on 2011-10-06; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2011-10-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 50% on 2011-10-06
• gwern said “I am probably high by 10 or 20%, but I’m trying to compensate for my dislike of Apple & Jobs” on 2011-10-06
• Robert Kosten estimated 10% on 2011-10-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 50% on 2011-10-06
• gwern estimated 30% and said “eh. reflecting further, I should stop second-guessing myself.” on 2011-10-06
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 40% on 2011-10-07
• Anubhav estimated 10% on 2011-10-10
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01” on 2012-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.