Google Knol will be shutdown in 2015

Created by gwern on 2011-10-13; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2016-01-01.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2011-10-13
• gwern said “all in 2012” on 2011-11-23
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.