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Created by captainpete on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged wrong by captainpete on 2009-09-14.

  • captainpete estimated 70% on 2009-09-07
  • Tom estimated 65% and said “w/o distractions: yes!on 2009-09-07
  • Wes estimated 80% on 2009-09-07
  • jon estimated 70% and said “I know nothing. Agreeing with Pete.on 2009-09-08
  • Matt estimated 53% and said “No information, so going with pbook’s estimate of what 71% confidence means.on 2009-09-08
  • Glenn estimated 52% and said “ditto Matton 2009-09-09
  • captainpete  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-09-14.

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