Either Mitt Romney or Barack Obama will win the 2012 Presidential election.

Created by HonoreDB on 2011-11-04; known on 2012-11-07; judged right by HonoreDB on 2012-11-07.

• HonoreDB estimated 95% on 2011-11-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 88% on 2011-11-04
• gwern estimated 80% on 2011-11-04
• richardbliss estimated 80% on 2011-11-04
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2011-11-05
• muflax estimated 90% on 2011-11-05
• chemotaxis101 estimated 85% on 2011-11-05
• falenas108 estimated 90% on 2011-11-06
• RobertLumley estimated 95% on 2011-11-10
• lavalamp estimated 97% on 2011-11-10
• Anubhav estimated 70% on 2011-11-15
• capcuervo estimated 95% on 2011-11-26
• faws estimated 90% on 2011-12-21
• endoself estimated 80% on 2011-12-22
• endoself estimated 87% on 2011-12-22
• faws estimated 94% on 2012-01-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2012-01-15
• Leo estimated 85% on 2012-01-26
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% on 2012-04-11
• Ken estimated 99% on 2012-04-11
• Cy Fleming estimated 99% on 2012-04-20
• kilobug estimated 99% on 2012-09-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 99% on 2012-09-07
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 99% on 2012-09-07
• Leo estimated 99% on 2012-09-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 98% on 2012-09-09
• jbeshir estimated 100% on 2012-09-10
• ahartell estimated 90% on 2012-09-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 100% on 2012-10-13
• HonoreDB   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.