The prediction market intrade will still be open for business in 2020.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by muflax on 2017-08-19.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 70% on 2011-11-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 40% on 2011-11-10
• muflax estimated 50% on 2011-11-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-11-10
• gwern estimated 65% and said “see also 3 predictions ending in http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2053 ” on 2011-11-10
• Andrew MacFie estimated 5% on 2016-05-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 67% on 2016-10-09
• muflax   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-08-19.