30 new speaker invitations for Singularity Summit 2012 will be written by the end of Monday, Nov. 14th.

Created by lukeprog on 2011-11-12; known on 2011-11-15; judged right by lukeprog on 2011-11-15.

• lukeprog estimated 85% on 2011-11-12
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2011-11-13
• gwern estimated 75% and said “sounds like planning fallacy, but surely lukeprog wouldn’t succumb to that?” on 2011-11-13
• PseudonymousUser estimated 62% on 2011-11-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 72% on 2011-11-13
• Jayson Virissimo said “gwern, you forget, for each day of work we get lukeprog gets 1.5 days [/half-serious]” on 2011-11-13
• gwern estimated 80% and said “hm. modafinil, yeah. eh, I’ll split the difference.” on 2011-11-13
• michaelanissimov estimated 100% and said “Working together, me and Luke finished this four hours ago. ” on 2011-11-15
• lukeprog   judged this prediction right on 2011-11-15.
• Jayson Virissimo said “michaelanissimov, this is PredictionBook, not RetrodictionBook. Otherwise, welcome to PredictionBook!” on 2011-11-15
• JoshuaZ said “To expand on Jayson’s remark, if a prediction turns out to be correct or incorrect then click on the relevant button under “Judge this prediction”” on 2011-11-15