Civil conflict will break out in the US by the end of 2011.

Created by max on 2009-10-14; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by bobpage on 2012-01-03.

  • max estimated 80% on 2009-10-14
  • max  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack estimated 10% on 2009-10-14
  • Sofa  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
  • mjgeddes estimated 5% on 2009-10-15
  • ChristianKl said “How will it be measured? What counts as civil conflict?on 2009-10-15
  • anonym  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym estimated 10% on 2009-10-17
  • Larks estimated 1% on 2009-10-17
  • VoiceOfAuthority estimated 5% on 2009-12-31
  • gwern estimated 1% on 2010-09-28
  • Larks estimated 1% on 2010-09-29
  • gimpf estimated 1% on 2010-12-13
  • bobpage said “OWS is not a civil conflicton 2012-01-03
  • bobpage  judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-03.
  • gwern said “Strongly agree; OWS is nowhere close.on 2012-01-03

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction