Generic AI won’t happen in the next 10 years.

Created by bogdanb on 2009-10-14; known on 2019-10-14; judged unknown by anonym on 2009-10-17.

• bogdanb estimated 99% on 2009-10-14
• rwallace judged this prediction right on 2009-10-14.
• rwallace judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
• rwallace estimated 100% on 2009-10-14
• danb estimated 91% on 2009-10-14
• tommccabe estimated 90% on 2009-10-14
• Jack estimated 95% on 2009-10-14
• VanVeen judged this prediction right on 2009-10-14.
• Matt judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
• mjgeddes estimated 80% on 2009-10-15
• im estimated 75% on 2009-10-15
• gzero judged this prediction right on 2009-10-15.
• anonym judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
• anonym judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
• anonym judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
• anonym estimated 65% on 2009-10-17
• gwern estimated 95% on 2010-09-27

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