Generic AI won't happen in the next 10 years.

Created by bogdanb on 2009-10-14; known on 2019-10-14; judged unknown by anonym on 2009-10-17.

  • bogdanb estimated 99% on 2009-10-14
  • rwallace  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-14.
  • rwallace  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
  • rwallace estimated 100% on 2009-10-14
  • danb estimated 91% on 2009-10-14
  • tommccabe estimated 90% on 2009-10-14
  • Jack estimated 95% on 2009-10-14
  • VanVeen  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-14.
  • Matt  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
  • mjgeddes estimated 80% on 2009-10-15
  • im estimated 75% on 2009-10-15
  • gzero  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-15.
  • anonym  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym estimated 65% on 2009-10-17
  • gwern estimated 95% on 2010-09-27
  • themusicgod1 said “as measured by… ?DeepMind is getting pretty generic.on 2016-10-06

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