The first exaflop performance supercomputer will be online before July 2019.

Created by Arenamontanus on 2009-10-14; known on 2019-07-01; judged wrong by wizzwizz4 on 2019-07-15.

• Arenamontanus estimated 70% on 2009-10-14
• gwern estimated 40% on 2010-10-19
• gwern said “cf http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#exaflop” on 2010-10-19
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2018-11-25
• Baeboo estimated 97% on 2018-12-12
• deleteyourbrain estimated 50% and said “lemme think about this” on 2019-04-26
• synthmeat estimated 2% on 2019-06-13
• wizzwizz4   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-07-15.