Eliezer Yudkowsky will follow Kevin's diet (see comments for details) for at least three months in the next two years.

Created by papermachine on 2011-12-26; known on 2014-01-16; judged wrong by waveman on 2014-02-05.

• papermachine estimated 60% on 2011-12-26
• papermachine said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/5r6/spend_money_on_ergonomics/5isi : ‘eat whatever you want as long as it is from this limited subset of foods and you are getting at least 50% of calories from healthy mostly saturated fat.’” on 2011-12-26
• papermachine said “While EY has a pretty bad record (and hence probably a bad prior) with diets and exercise, he also probably has high openness.” on 2011-12-26
• gwern estimated 40% and said “and a long prior record of ignoring other-optimizing with intellectual justifications, as you’ve already pointed to. he says he’s ‘close’, but I wonder.” on 2011-12-26
• michaelanissimov estimated 60% on 2012-01-05
• waveman estimated 10% and said “EY is looking for a magic bullet for weight loss. Which does not exist. If he tries this diet it will not work as hoped and he will abandon it.” on 2014-01-05
• waveman estimated 2% and said “He just posted on facebook that he is on “Super Ketonic Dietary Replacement Fluid” so no. ” on 2014-01-15
• waveman   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-02-05.