There will be a storm/hurricane event killing more than 5000 people before 14 October 2010.

Created by Arenamontanus 10 months ago; known in about 1 month; judged unknown by anonym 10 months ago.

  • Arenamontanus estimated 67% 10 months ago
  • anonym judged this prediction right 10 months ago.
  • anonym judged this prediction unknown 10 months ago.
  • anonym is fence sitting 10 months ago
  • gwern estimated 95% against about 1 month ago

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