There will be a flood event that kills more than 200 people between 14 October and 14 November 2009.
- Arenamontanus estimated 83% on 2009-10-14
- othercriteria estimated 20% on 2009-10-15
- pre estimated 1% on 2009-10-15
- Laurent Bossavit estimated 5% on 2009-11-12
- Jack said “The death toll in El Salvador is 192 and there are still 80 missing. Looks like this is going to turn out right, sadly.” on 2009-11-16
- Arenamontanus judged this prediction wrong on 2009-11-17.
- Arenamontanus said “ It looks like El Salvador came close, but not quite up to 200. This might have to be revised if some of the missing turn up dead.” on 2009-11-17
- Jack said “El Salvador dead down to 140. Must have been duplicate reports of dead. Should have seen that coming. Same thing happened after 9/11.” on 2009-12-02
Please log in to respond to or judge prediction