Dark Knight Rises will be released in 2012 and will obtain Rotten Tomotoes score of at equal to or greater than 50% and equal or less than 85%.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-01-02; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-01-02.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 40% on 2012-01-02
• Jayson Virissimo said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/94k/new_years_prediction_thread_2012/5knt” on 2012-01-02
• gwern estimated 50% and said “seems pretty reasonable. does anyone expect it to be that terrible or that awesome?” on 2012-01-02
• Jayson Virissimo said “The average of the last two is above the upperbound, but I admit I’m using a pretty crude prediction method.” on 2012-01-02
• Jayson Virissimo said “tomatometer: 87%, audience: 92%” on 2013-01-02
• Jayson Virissimo said “http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_dark_knight_rises/” on 2013-01-02
• Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-02.