HP MOR: EY already planned to incorporate the Peverell tombstone quote before Raemon asked him.

Created by gwern on 2012-01-03; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by HonoreDB on 2016-02-13.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-01-03
• gwern on 2012-01-03
• gwern said “original by raemon 75% http://lesswrong.com/lw/94r/rationality_quotes_january_2012/5l9r” on 2012-01-03
• gwern said “it will appear in MoR for any reason (eg. at Raemon’s suggestion): http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5122” on 2012-01-03
• Anubhav estimated 60% on 2012-01-03
• ahartell estimated 50% on 2012-01-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2012-01-04
• gwern estimated 75% and said “see comment on other; these two predictions are now the same” on 2012-01-05
• Anubhav estimated 100% and said “As I said on the other one: Too good not to use.” on 2012-01-05
• Anubhav said “extend deadline” on 2012-04-03
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-04-03” on 2012-04-03
• Sarokrae estimated 75% on 2012-11-27
• HonoreDB   judged this prediction right on 2016-02-13.
• HonoreDB said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/94r/rationality_quotes_january_2012/5lu1?context=3” on 2016-02-13