PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

In the comments of http://lesswrong.com/r/lesswrong/lw/9eo/a_call_for_solutions_and_a_tease_of_mine/, somebody will mention prediction markets in the next three days.

Created by HonoreDB on 2012-01-16; known on 2012-01-19; judged right by Anubhav on 2012-01-16.

  • HonoreDB estimated 70% on 2012-01-16
  • gwern said “sorry, but it is a good suggestion” on 2012-01-16
  • HonoreDB   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-16.
  • HonoreDB said “Looks like Slackson posted at the same time as you anyway.” on 2012-01-16
  • Anubhav   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-16.