“80% of the world will have gay marriage” —Paul, BBC

Created by gwern on 2012-01-24; known on 2112-01-01

• gwern estimated 75% on 2012-01-24
• gwern said “http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-16536598 could easily become the next international ‘standard’ to be enforced. will judge by 80% of sovereign countries (rather than territory or populace)” on 2012-01-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2012-01-24
• Elithrion said “Not sure what this would mean in a singularity scenario, or if marriage were removed from the law and churches were allowed to decide whether to perform the ceremony.” on 2013-02-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 63% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 80% on 2018-12-15
• Baeboo estimated 75% on 2018-12-15