US official unemployment rate is still above 7% in December 2012. (75%) —knb

Created by gwern on 2012-01-24; known on 2012-12-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-12-01.

• gwern estimated 75% on 2012-01-24
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/94k/new_years_prediction_thread_2012/5o3k” on 2012-01-24
• William-Quixote estimated 85% on 2012-09-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 82% on 2012-09-09
• RandomThinker estimated 70% on 2012-09-10
• Qiaochu estimated 90% on 2012-10-20
• Ken estimated 90% on 2012-11-12
• gwern said “http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000 says 7.9, having spent most of 2012 over 8. marking right” on 2012-12-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-01.