“I will place in the top 5 for the Quantified Health Prize” —Kevin

Created by gwern on 2012-01-24; known on 2012-03-01; judged right by Grognor on 2012-02-18.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2012-01-24
• gwern made the prediction on 2012-01-24
• gwern said “cut the conditional part because he apparently did fulfill it” on 2012-01-24
• Grognor   judged this prediction right on 2012-02-18.