One or more persons will be charged with the manslaughter, homicide or other unlawful killing of Michael Jackson before the end of the year.

Created by InTrade on 2009-10-16; known on 2010-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.

  • InTrade estimated 60% on 2009-10-16
  • anonym  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym estimated 55% on 2009-10-17
  • InTrade estimated 60% on 2009-10-20
  • VoiceOfAuthority estimated 0% on 2009-12-31
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2010-07-29.

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