Weed will not be legalized in California for the next 5 years

Created by aurasprw on 2009-10-17; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by mfb on 2014-01-13.

  • aurasprw estimated 75% on 2009-10-17
  • anonym  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym estimated 70% on 2009-10-17
  • Jack estimated 90% on 2009-10-18
  • gwern estimated 30% and said “between general liberalism and the budget crunch, I see it happening.on 2010-07-29
  • aurasprw changed the deadline from “on 2009-01-01on 2010-09-11
  • gimpf estimated 60% on 2010-12-12
  • mfb  judged this prediction right on 2014-01-13.

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