Weed will not be legalized in California for the next 5 years

Created by aurasprw on 2009-10-17; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by mfb on 2014-01-13.

• aurasprw estimated 75% on 2009-10-17
• anonym   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
• anonym   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
• anonym estimated 70% on 2009-10-17
• Jack estimated 90% on 2009-10-18
• gwern estimated 30% and said “between general liberalism and the budget crunch, I see it happening.” on 2010-07-29
• aurasprw changed the deadline from “on 2009-01-01” on 2010-09-11
• gimpf estimated 60% on 2010-12-12
• mfb   judged this prediction right on 2014-01-13.