There will be strong indications of extrasolar life by 2016.

Created by anonym on 2009-10-17; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by muflax on 2016-01-01.

  • anonym estimated 75% on 2009-10-17
  • ChristianKl estimated 20% on 2009-10-17
  • freyley estimated 10% on 2009-10-18
  • Jack estimated 5% on 2009-10-18
  • mjgeddes estimated 20% on 2009-10-19
  • flovv  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-19.
  • Jack  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-19.
  • faws estimated 22% on 2009-10-22
  • gwern estimated 10% on 2010-09-28
  • JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2011-09-02
  • NathanMcKnight  judged this prediction right on 2011-11-02.
  • muflax  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-11-02.
  • muflax estimated 5% on 2011-11-02
  • lavalamp estimated 1% on 2011-11-10
  • muflax  judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.

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