HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be ask for a trial by combat
Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-28.
- gwern estimated 6% on 2012-03-23
- gwern said “on the plus side, if he dueled lucius and won, eliezer could write another delicious chapter on the will to kill” on 2012-03-23
- Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
- HonoreDB estimated 1% on 2012-03-23
- beo_shaffer estimated 3% on 2012-03-23
- Alsadius estimated 3% and said “I decompose this into a 10% chance that it’s part of the legal code and a 30% chance that the best solution Harry can come up with is to challenge Lucius to trial by combat. ” on 2012-03-23
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Rejoyce
estimated 5% and said “I thought he’d be smart enough to
notask for a duel, especially after the Incident with the Remembrall?” on 2012-03-23 - quicklystarfish estimated 4% on 2012-03-23
- Isaac estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
- Porejide estimated 4% on 2012-03-24
- quicklystarfish estimated 1% on 2012-03-25
- JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2012-03-25
- RobertLumley estimated 2% on 2012-03-26
- lavalamp estimated 2% on 2012-03-26
- gimpf estimated 2% on 2012-03-27
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-28.
- gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be ask for a trial by combat” on 2012-04-09