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HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be using the Time-turner to alter Hermione's testimony to something easily falsifiable

Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-28.

  • gwern estimated 13% on 2012-03-23
  • gwern said “it is a little suspicious that he didn’t hear it.on 2012-03-23
  • Anubhav estimated 1% on 2012-03-23
  • HonoreDB estimated 2% on 2012-03-23
  • beo_shaffer estimated 5% on 2012-03-23
  • Rejoyce estimated 0% on 2012-03-23
  • quicklystarfish estimated 2% on 2012-03-23
  • Isaac estimated 10% on 2012-03-23
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2012-03-25
  • lavalamp estimated 2% on 2012-03-26
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-28.
  • gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be using the Time-turner to alter Hermione's testimony to something easily falsifiable” on 2012-04-09