HP MoR: There are >7 Voldemort Horcruxes

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by Anubhav on 2015-02-24.

• gwern estimated 35% on 2012-04-05
• lavalamp estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
• Anubhav estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
• LauralH estimated 25% on 2012-04-11
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 65% and said “Weren’t there 8 in canon? Or was it just 8 soul fragments counting Voldemort himself? I do have the impression it was more than Voldemort intended because Harry was accidental.” on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 10% on 2012-04-20
• HonoreDB estimated 55% on 2012-04-23
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• Anubhav   judged this prediction right on 2015-02-24.
• Anubhav said ““Lost count at ~107”. ” on 2015-02-24