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HP MoR: A Deathly Hallow besides the Cloak will appear in the possession of a character in the present-day at some point

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by 75th on 2015-03-12.

  • gwern estimated 85% on 2012-04-05
  • gwern said “Chekhov’s gun with a vengeanceon 2012-04-05
  • Sarokrae estimated 90% on 2012-04-05
  • Isaac estimated 90% on 2012-04-05
  • JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2012-04-06
  • ahartell estimated 90% on 2012-04-09
  • Anubhav estimated 100% and said “Hello, Resurrection Stone.on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 98% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 98% on 2012-04-20
  • 75th estimated 100% on 2013-07-13
  • JayDee estimated 90% on 2013-08-21
  • Flipnash estimated 88% on 2013-08-21
  • ygert estimated 97% on 2013-08-21
  • lavalamp said “We’ve already seen Dumbledore with the wand?on 2013-08-21
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • 75th   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-12.