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HP MoR: The original Quirrel was Voldemort's master or teacher

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

  • gwern estimated 35% on 2012-04-05
  • lavalamp estimated 15% on 2012-04-06
  • ahartell estimated 20% on 2012-04-09
  • Anubhav estimated 3% on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 10% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 15% on 2012-04-20
  • gwern estimated 10% and said “increasingly looking less like quirrel is a hijacked bodyon 2013-07-11
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.