HP MoR: Lily Potter did not give Petunia a magic potion, but actually Imperius'ed her.

Created by gwern on 2012-04-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2015-03-14.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2012-04-05
• gwern said “the stuff about the thestral blood and Dumbledore messing with the potion book has me convinced no imperius was involved” on 2012-04-05
• Sarokrae estimated 20% on 2012-04-06
• lavalamp estimated 12% on 2012-04-06
• ahartell estimated 10% on 2012-04-09
• Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 5% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% and said “Why would Petunia have been so ill?” on 2012-04-20
• HonoreDB estimated 5% on 2012-04-23
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• HonoreDB   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-14.