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HP MoR: Dumbledore, Quirrel, Voldemort, Santa Claus, and Mr. Hat and Cloak are all the same person.

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

  • gwern estimated 0% on 2012-04-07
  • gwern said “crack, although Dumbledore did turn out to be santa clauson 2012-04-07
  • ahartell estimated 0% on 2012-04-09
  • spqr0a1 estimated 0% on 2012-04-09
  • Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-04-10
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% on 2012-04-20
  • DEA7TH estimated 5% and said “Dumbledore, Quirrell and Voldemort are the most powerful wizard(s) in the world, and look like they might be wearing masks.on 2014-02-28
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.