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HP MoR: Harry will invent some form of 'metamagic' (eg. a self-replicating spell or magical construct/artifact)

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2016-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 50% on 2012-04-07
  • Anubhav estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
  • Futschi estimated 10% and said “Assuming the story only covers his first year in Hogwarts :)on 2012-04-14
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 30% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 10% on 2012-04-20
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.