HP MoR: Harry will steal the Philosopher's Stone at some point

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by wizzwizz4 on 2019-09-03.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-04-07
• gwern estimated 25% and said “it’s a giant glittery Chekhov’s Gem, and it keeps not coming up! on second thought, I’m not sure it’ll ever come up much less that Harry will have to steal it.” on 2012-04-07
• spqr0a1 estimated 20% on 2012-04-09
• Anubhav estimated 50% and said “To paraphrase Eliezer, “in this fic, obvious things are obvious”.” on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 35% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 60% on 2012-04-20
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.
• Oscar_Cunningham said “Anyone want to dispute this?” on 2015-03-26
• wizzwizz4 said “He nicks it from the FINAL BOSS.” on 2019-09-03
• wizzwizz4   judged this prediction right on 2019-09-03.