HP MoR: Quirrel believes that Harry's stone is the Resurrection Stone

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2015-02-24.

• gwern estimated 75% on 2012-04-07
• gwern said “he seemed awfully in a hurry, and has been pointed out, it dovetails beautifully with the comment about great wizards drawing connections with things seen only once” on 2012-04-07
• ahartell said “When did he see Harry’s stone?” on 2012-04-09
• Anubhav estimated 15% and said “Hmm? It sounded like he went off to retrieve Marvolo’s ring.” on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 40% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 20% on 2012-04-20
• Sarokrae estimated 15% on 2012-04-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% and said “Per Anubhav. ” on 2012-04-29
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• Anubhav   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-02-24.
• Anubhav said “Yep, Marvolo’s ring turned out to have the Resurrection Stone. ” on 2015-02-24