Some group in Pakistan has already developed a super-intelligence (as of 2009).

Created by mjgeddes on 2009-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Grognor on 2014-08-20.

  • mjgeddes estimated 1% on 2009-10-19
  • Jack estimated 0% on 2009-10-19
  • Tobias_M  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-19.
  • Jack  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-19.
  • Arenamontanus estimated 1% on 2009-10-19
  • anonym estimated 1% on 2009-10-20
  • archgoon  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-20.
  • freyley  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-21.
  • gwern estimated 0% on 2010-09-28
  • Larks estimated 0% on 2010-09-29
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 9% on 2012-04-29
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 0% and said “damn typoon 2012-04-29
  • clemux estimated 0% on 2014-06-26
  • Grognor  judged this prediction wrong on 2014-08-20.

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